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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151532

Funkbol VS Nyvelados

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
68.01%
Draw
11.19%
Away
20.80%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

10 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1581
Log loss
0.3855

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
f8273d1d3d01f2bcdcec0e8a4febb19947f31ad4d63efeb0271e206678020611

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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