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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151455

Lørenskog VS Kjelsås

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 01:02 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.87%
Draw
19.40%
Away
63.73%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1976
Log loss
0.4505

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
17 Oct 2026 · 01:02 UTC
SHA-256
86908b6a7bdbb2175dc1ae5d894d312646e54021890f54832848e1d14683da85

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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