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Frozen pre-match forecast · #1513

Wda Świecie VS Kluczevia Stargard

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
30.91%
Draw
34.53%
Away
34.56%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.6430
Log loss
1.0625

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
16 Sep 2026 · 05:18 UTC
SHA-256
6b3f3956e73f466e4b9bda0187b79a289eac34076a73739a8bb56a6ba811d533

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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