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Frozen pre-match forecast · #151111

Hottin VS Al Nawaeir

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
Match kickoff
30 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.78%
Draw
27.00%
Away
27.23%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 14:02 UTC
SHA-256
c7269876c41ecc7324ac1ed7d7b10add693a8f59da9bc7da8b5e20f1a174bf76

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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