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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150922

Atlético Mineiro U20 VS Amazonas U20

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
95.88%
Draw
3.03%
Away
1.08%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0027
Log loss
0.0420

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
6072604b1661b5e16a23c6af9e372ddd4816cc845cfb756fa79d9e56b25aaa92

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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