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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150849

USM Annaba VS CA Batna

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
51.31%
Draw
28.18%
Away
20.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8211
Log loss
1.2666

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:17 UTC
SHA-256
ace08148fda579a3acdeae63e5e028ddcbaf49cba7cd8b66a88217b449063e28

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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