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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150770

Plzen VS Levski Sofia

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
53.79%
Draw
24.52%
Away
21.69%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
b459c356a3a64f50d04e3caef6d5757120daa34398c7dfeddbac9c4ff5826173

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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