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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150685

Aktobe Jas VS Astana II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 09:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
34.80%
Draw
19.34%
Away
45.85%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
2cd2f6cdc508f6cbd36e4e4127ab1725b8c2c787e621e25b3ae04301c8cb0fdd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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