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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150673

Columbus Crew VS St. Louis City

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.15%
Draw
24.74%
Away
40.11%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
625fd76f5a7a340c72a2da88a44cc26e0d2d679c8d48220e9641ac401c7ab908

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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