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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150545

Lugazi VS Express

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
32.71%
Draw
31.26%
Away
36.03%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:16 UTC
SHA-256
7e3084dff0af1e56bc3a04647226b80a3e1e00344770b37960c9e5fc2de42a16

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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