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Frozen pre-match forecast · #15051

Masar VS Proxy

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:14 UTC
Match kickoff
24 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
39.60%
Draw
33.45%
Away
26.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.5493
Log loss
0.9263

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:14 UTC
SHA-256
159b211c6579d2f22be7bfcd6502e1d80e3a8b2a1eac9ad8adec9a236516f58f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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