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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150220

Al Faisaly VS Al Ramtha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.38%
Draw
22.35%
Away
14.27%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.2044
Log loss
0.4560

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
ce46be3603202bafab35c0ecf6a4b3923f6ba5cfdec287500f10389475e57aae

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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