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Frozen pre-match forecast · #150166

Tigres FC VS Real Soacha

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
40.53%
Draw
29.59%
Away
29.88%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:15 UTC
SHA-256
1521094aa038d41110a958f1a33d53f8708859b2bd5fbcf2532e6616d8aa5239

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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