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Frozen pre-match forecast · #149992

Enppi VS El Mokawloon

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
19 Oct 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.27%
Draw
30.08%
Away
34.64%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.6421
Log loss
1.0601

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
1c291d8e2b4a201e4df2a766ff914afc096f1a4c7eaa19346d90f686720d8a3d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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