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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14996

TOGB VS ROHDA Raalte

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:13 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
16.25%
Draw
27.23%
Away
56.52%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.2896
Log loss
0.5706

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:13 UTC
SHA-256
34d4149009236fe6b01ea4ec7320f7793590148db4392961eeb0e037bab97574

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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