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Frozen pre-match forecast · #149852

Breidablik VS Vikingur Reykjavik

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 19:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
25.58%
Draw
20.51%
Away
53.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.3199
Log loss
0.6179

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
0e97d4a80680b02414f0a4a5354d25de33cf3d640690db4c849d42ce71fd2021

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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