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Frozen pre-match forecast · #149649

Enyimba VS Warri Wolves

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
59.56%
Draw
24.73%
Away
15.72%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.9460
Log loss
1.3973

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
025f3c6289ef2d529779ace00773cf10346a2b95c1a161bad6dd94510f8f5d3d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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