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Frozen pre-match forecast · #149546

Dečić VS Buducnost Podgorica

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
38.43%
Draw
30.66%
Away
30.91%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.7190
Log loss
1.1741

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
cbb408710e84e682da1fb0341d70623219d9cac00a5733f81098c05d2bcce57d

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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