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Frozen pre-match forecast · #149487

KI Klaksvik VS B68

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
73.13%
Draw
17.61%
Away
9.26%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.3892
Log loss
2.3795

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:13 UTC
SHA-256
50e5ba5a5dddb1328dbd1f17076ec98a22dbe81c94dcb61b08707475519173d0

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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