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Frozen pre-match forecast · #149237

Digenis Morphou VS Halkanoras

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.69%
Draw
26.99%
Away
31.32%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8049
Log loss
1.3097

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:12 UTC
SHA-256
cd9679ab602d9fd91ddb08284f84ca2c7710ce4ff536bfd68042d8ea00c44ab1

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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