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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148958

Getafe II VS Albacete II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 09:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
55.75%
Draw
25.13%
Away
19.12%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.9079
Log loss
1.3811

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6da1da6f489ddf6ed88d42f863faa8f052015d93b17bcb73dc1353496c8f2204

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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