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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148931

Deltras VS Persis Solo

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
48.47%
Draw
25.14%
Away
26.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.8650
Log loss
1.3807

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
f96650eeefb504734c79a9c6b4e8f3c46d417ad3f962c5c674e52883dd013308

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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