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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148926

Rača VS Komárno II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 08:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
67.07%
Draw
18.96%
Away
13.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 390-minute result
Brier score
1.2259
Log loss
1.9683

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
f7083348d6126bb32df5c26870fecdf5d80f9d0b07917c4ac107b241884c7192

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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