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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148896

Tuloy VS Dynamic Herb Cebu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 07:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
8.45%
Draw
12.50%
Away
79.05%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 690-minute result
Brier score
0.0667
Log loss
0.2351

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:11 UTC
SHA-256
6361e7e1a3f169fe572e6df33e0b2f9b7763266966ed6fb78957eb75ed164598

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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