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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14872

Lviv U19 VS Oleksandria U19

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:11 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 10:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
24.30%
Draw
33.23%
Away
42.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.8638
Log loss
1.4147

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:11 UTC
SHA-256
be536411256d16d4fdbfde86f87615c2382ca6be1e4b4e8c02dffa74fbf74a67

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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