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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148696

FC Lebbeke VS RFC Wetteren

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.05%
Draw
23.18%
Away
30.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4395
Log loss
0.7754

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:09 UTC
SHA-256
381b7d5b01ebe7aace54fd75de124a2752658b81f33a7c8d25526ac09ff832d5

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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