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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14862

Kashima VS Ventforet Kofu

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:11 UTC
Match kickoff
23 Sep 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.53%
Draw
32.25%
Away
24.22%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.4816
Log loss
0.8317

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:11 UTC
SHA-256
c49d5f34fd273ee3e14e72b5f7a652562515d25a288c895701af80470ae0ae2a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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