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Frozen pre-match forecast · #148372

Dinamo Zagreb U21 VS Karlovac 1919

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
52.10%
Draw
25.40%
Away
22.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.9366
Log loss
1.4917

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:08 UTC
SHA-256
7c5d558c33fc45f4e5243118963d634853aa09e7e57ea4617a9f78d79ca29c17

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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