Skip to main content
← Forecast archive

Frozen pre-match forecast · #148144

Stockport County VS Bromley

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
75.94%
Draw
15.12%
Away
8.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.0888
Log loss
0.2753

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
88a0eb5abc555551e8a6b0fb1ed9aeac04ba46e3173ecfdfc305a6c43b8a146a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

Explore public calibration across archived forecasts →