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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147999

OFK Levski VS Partizan

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.73%
Draw
26.84%
Away
27.43%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.4418
Log loss
0.7824

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:07 UTC
SHA-256
8bec1acd244bab4b36be4e655473c8bcea6f8aaa16beee3585aab4ba0252bff6

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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