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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147822

Sandviken VS Mjondalen

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
31.07%
Draw
22.83%
Away
46.10%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.4392
Log loss
0.7744

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:06 UTC
SHA-256
237644a1268ae0608a19c65e8a376fff4919a2eb95a83cea02f5400e5a231131

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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