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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147379

Chrudim VS Horní Ředice

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 08:15 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
50.59%
Draw
23.46%
Away
25.95%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3665
Log loss
0.6814

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
556ec8d0913e3c013b2595327eee27993acdefee7edf9c49be41606469cbf00a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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