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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147371

Sekhukhune United U23 VS Chippa United U23

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
77.87%
Draw
13.54%
Away
8.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.0747
Log loss
0.2501

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
eba5ec062c1254bef64375065a9e9222831053a9ac9b11609b794e5a7f36d772

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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