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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147358

Concordia VS Viitorul Şelimbăr

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 08:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
65.55%
Draw
20.60%
Away
13.86%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

5 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1804
Log loss
0.4225

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:04 UTC
SHA-256
b4a1efc5ec5816303a48ded84531a874f0022665b9892d67bcf1efefb487a51c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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