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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147182

Vlašim VS Hanácká

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
56.80%
Draw
21.69%
Away
21.50%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2799
Log loss
0.5655

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
9c07fd625057df1de1b448fb693d9e59cd31c9ba743488eecae4b0b14a13ae1a

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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