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Frozen pre-match forecast · #147146

Iveria Khashuri VS Betlemi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.22%
Draw
19.82%
Away
16.97%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

8 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.2034
Log loss
0.4586

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 05:03 UTC
SHA-256
ba70856e9d0e653be9e6c9a3c03426e95258fa9a2d46f5c405a75db12a12d09e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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