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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14689

FCSB II VS Alexandria

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:07 UTC
Match kickoff
22 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
0.00%
Draw
25.00%
Away
75.00%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

View every retained version of this fixture →

After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 390-minute result
Brier score
0.1250
Log loss
0.2877

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:07 UTC
SHA-256
dd935c8024a5446dadb888130b938d90a4f9d4f866f8a95dee26e03e74cf9f4c

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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