Frozen pre-match forecast · #146887
HNK Cibalia VS Segesta Sisak
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 16 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 17 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 49.86%
- Draw
- 26.43%
- Away
- 23.72%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.9003
- Log loss
- 1.4390
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 16 Oct 2026 · 04:01 UTC
- SHA-256
- 19191c125c2e56ace1f85266996b9b9e5533b44718dbb4c0a92a0cdee46fd7af
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.