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Frozen pre-match forecast · #146763

Comoé VS ASFB

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
Match kickoff
17 Oct 2026 · 15:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
43.64%
Draw
30.84%
Away
25.51%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 490-minute result
Brier score
0.8405
Log loss
1.3660

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
16 Oct 2026 · 02:01 UTC
SHA-256
64f65747509e55f6f5d4521d7330fd25e1a35abe594b48751a1f7caf03d3b0bd

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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