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Frozen pre-match forecast · #146550

Maardu VS Elva

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
44.54%
Draw
24.05%
Away
31.40%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
9d55348f6fb7df81ed890ff7233fd13f3f856c12101a7a714d034758607485b7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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