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Frozen pre-match forecast · #146545

Al Khaleej Saihat VS Al-Hazm

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 14:35 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
41.79%
Draw
26.14%
Away
32.07%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

4 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.5100
Log loss
0.8725

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 16:01 UTC
SHA-256
f022943f8f0d698b26345c2b5e7144a5e4471a53a5b115d5bb6bc21d3f259b93

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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