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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14654

Dynamos VS Herentals

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:07 UTC
Match kickoff
20 Sep 2026 · 13:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
23.88%
Draw
38.53%
Away
37.59%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.8692
Log loss
1.4321

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:07 UTC
SHA-256
3a59583c1162acbb2386fe817e99efb0175fe9157f7657cc0a8ab0b82c41265f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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