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Frozen pre-match forecast · #146495

Enosis VS ASIL Lysi

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 16:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
49.88%
Draw
26.44%
Away
23.67%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3771
Log loss
0.6955

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 13:01 UTC
SHA-256
9d977d804a4f67a0da68af6ad6bd1433018ba0c951ac5b3d6bbd2e6777e73e19

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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