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Frozen pre-match forecast · #146477

Céleste VS FC Mk de Kinshasa

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 12:01 UTC
Match kickoff
29 Oct 2026 · 12:00 UTC
Record status
Forecast retained

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
45.65%
Draw
29.91%
Away
24.45%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

Waiting for the final result

This forecast is already retained. Grading appears once a final regulation score is confirmed.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 12:01 UTC
SHA-256
8b945acb4cccfd0ca840db959d17845366e972697d666fc5d70f449bf8247f7e

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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