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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14633

Real Soacha VS Quindio

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:06 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 22:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
35.22%
Draw
33.79%
Away
30.99%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.6299
Log loss
1.0436

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:06 UTC
SHA-256
c4cd0ee23ffa66cb426f85e49efb6b8cbed77fecee4b235dcf16140fb596e983

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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