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Frozen pre-match forecast · #14610

Os VS Åsane II

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
18 Sep 2026 · 06:05 UTC
Match kickoff
21 Sep 2026 · 17:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
46.45%
Draw
32.78%
Away
20.77%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

3 – 290-minute result
Brier score
0.4374
Log loss
0.7668

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
legacy
Captured at
18 Sep 2026 · 06:05 UTC
SHA-256
f0e5539a67343f6d963dc8bb41c9dbc3548aca1ebd20cd082a5d71bc88ba0977

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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