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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145980

Wydad AC VS Amal Tiznit

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
63.18%
Draw
23.35%
Away
13.47%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

1 – 190-minute result
Brier score
1.0048
Log loss
1.4546

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
00cf00cd867804574faaa3d643587a53771036b9e45d5c480b4614af9ddba4f9

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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