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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145977

Widad Témara VS Kawkab Marrakech

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
18 Oct 2026 · 18:00 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
18.22%
Draw
27.20%
Away
54.58%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

0 – 190-minute result
Brier score
0.3135
Log loss
0.6055

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
3c433bd4f4fd683fa1ac2de6190c802d7a7abcbf5c1864fdf297423401bb55c7

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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