Frozen pre-match forecast · #145886
Ilisiakos VS AE Mykonos
The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.
- Published before kickoff
- 15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- Match kickoff
- 18 Oct 2026 · 13:00 UTC
- Record status
- Graded
Before kickoff
Published probabilities
- Home
- 45.99%
- Draw
- 27.44%
- Away
- 26.57%
These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.
View every retained version of this fixture →After the final whistle
Result & grading
- Brier score
- 0.4376
- Log loss
- 0.7767
Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.
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About this record and its grading
- Model version
- v5
- Captured at
- 15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
- SHA-256
- eafc60e277475536488ca832d4af5fc55c28fbacb2ce06c8c3ac9dba8c3781ad
The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.
Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.