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Frozen pre-match forecast · #145795

KVC Westerlo VS Patro Eisden

The original probability record, preserved separately from the final result.

Published before kickoff
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
Match kickoff
16 Oct 2026 · 18:30 UTC
Record status
Graded

Before kickoff

Published probabilities

Home
64.43%
Draw
20.18%
Away
15.39%

These are the original displayed probabilities for this version. They are estimates, not guaranteed outcomes.

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After the final whistle

Result & grading

2 – 090-minute result
Brier score
0.1909
Log loss
0.4396

Lower scores are better. Extra time and penalties do not change the 90-minute outcome.

About this record and its grading
Model version
v5
Captured at
15 Oct 2026 · 05:14 UTC
SHA-256
f4fc0959c39edd0470b628a50d8690f2964c18047cf2aa6479bb624ec1fefa7f

The checksum checks internal consistency; it is not independent proof against database tampering. Results use the current corrected fixture record. The archived probabilities remain unchanged.

Multiclass Brier sums squared errors across all three outcomes (0–2). Log loss uses natural logarithms and a 1e-15 floor. Rounded probabilities are normalized for grading.

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